David Kurtz: “The most striking thing about the Illinois Senate race is that neither party is particularly thrilled with the quality of its nominee.” Talking Points Memo runs the numbers, lending credence to the idea that, despite having raised less than $5k, LeAlan Jones could play a factor (and to a lesser extent, Mike Labno), though TPM points out that third-party candidates tend to poll better than they actually do on Election Day. Fivethirtyeight currently projects the Democrats to lose five to eight seats in the Senate.